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Math plays big role in TN poll

Mon, May 09, 2016, 02:35 PM
The arithmetic of the Tamil Nadu assembly polls is going to be interesting. If there is a 5.75% swing in the vote in its favour, the DMK will come back to power, with the Congress riding piggy-back on it. Also, any party or combination that wins 36.5% vote would come to power.

The party that had won the general elections had seen a fall in its vote share in the following elections as a rule. This would go against the ruling AIADMK which returned 37 MPs in the last general elections.

So far the DMK parties have been alternating to power. But this time there is a significant third front in the State by smaller parties led by Captain Vijayakant's DMDK and PMK led by Dr Ambumani Ramadoss. Together, they are contesting all the 234 seats.

If the AIADMK manages 38 to 44% vote, it would win a huge majority of 195 seats, and Jayalalithaa would be back in the saddle.

However, as Prime Minister Narendra Modi said the State was now witnessing a rule from within four walls, i.e. the leader is immobile. But the Congress suspects there is a tacit understanding between the AIADMK and the BJP not to upset each other carts.

Whatever freebies promised by the various parties in Tamil Nadu, math is expected to play a big role in the State.
Agency: Ap7am Desk
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